Presidential race between Harris and Trump – who’s winning?

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Oct 26, 2024 |

The latest polling data reveals an extremely tight race between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump in the 2024 US presidential election, with neither candidate emerging as a clear frontrunner.

As election day approaches, national polls and key battleground states show near-equal support for both candidates, setting the stage for an unpredictable outcome.

National polls show Harris and Trump locked in a virtual tie, with a several polls placing both candidates at 47% support among likely voters.

Since joining the race in July, Harris has held a slight edge in the national polling average, but the margin remains razor-thin.

The contest is particularly competitive in seven crucial swing states that could determine the election’s outcome.

Polls in Arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina currently show small leads for Trump, while Harris holds narrow advantages in Nevada, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.

These pivotal states have seen tightening polls in recent weeks, intensifying the focus on voter turnout and final campaign efforts.

Due to the electoral college system, the outcome of the race will hinge on a few highly competitive states.

Six key states, with a combined 77 electoral votes, are expected to be decisive.

Forecast models project a near-even split in potential electoral outcomes, underscoring the importance of each candidate’s performance in these battleground areas.

Gender divides and major policy issues are strongly influencing voter sentiment, with Harris performing better among women and Trump holding an edge among male voters.

Topics such as abortion rights and economic concerns have become central to voters’ choices.

Both campaigns are focusing their final efforts on energising their bases and appealing to undecided voters in swing states.

Analysts are calling the 2024 election too close to predict.

The final outcome on November 5th is likely to depend on voter turnout and last-minute shifts in key states, as Harris and Trump continue to vie for every vote in the closing weeks of the campaign.

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