The latest Roy Morgan New Zealand Poll reveals a significant surge in popularity for Prime Minister Christopher Luxon and the National-led coalition government, which now enjoys a robust majority support of 58% as of November.

This marks a notable overall increase of 5.2 percentage points from the mid-October election results.

Support for National was virtually unchanged at 37.5%, down 0.6% points from the election, while support for ACT increased 3.9% points to 12.5% and support for NZ First was up 1.9% points to 8%.

In November, support for the defeated Labour-Greens-Maori Party Parliamentary Opposition was at only 36%, down 5.6% points from the election.

Support for Labour dropped 5.9% points to 21% (the lowest ever recorded in a Roy Morgan Poll).

However, support for the Greens increased 0.9% points to 12.5% while support for the Maori Party was down 0.6% points to 2.5%.

The survey results for November would lead to 74 seats (up six seats) being won by the current National/ ACT/ NZ First governing coalition compared to only 48 seats (down seven seats) for the Labour/ Greens/ Maori Party Opposition.

This latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted by telephone – both landline and mobile – with a New Zealand-wide cross-section of 920 electors during November 2023.

Electors were asked: “If a New Zealand Election were held today which party would receive your party vote?” Of all electors surveyed 5% did not name a party.

New Zealand Government Confidence Rating jumps 17pts to 90.5 after NZ Election

The Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating jumped 17pts to 90.5 in November to its highest for nine months since February 2023 (95) – the month after former Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern resigned.

After the NZ Election, 36.5% (up 5.5% points) of electors said New Zealand was ‘heading in the right direction’ while 46% (down 11.5% points) said New Zealand was ‘heading in the wrong direction’.

The latest ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Rating for New Zealand was up 3.8pts to 91.9 and is clearly above the latest Consumer Confidence figure in Australia of 80.8 on December 4-10, 2023.

Roy Morgan CEO Michele Levine said new Prime Minister Christopher Luxon’s new government – the sixth National-led Government in history – has provided an immediate boost to confidence in the country, although confidence levels are still low, well below 100.

“After losing the election in October the Labour-led Government of Jacinda Ardern, and her successor Chris Hipkins, was the shortest-lived Government in New Zealand for nearly fifty years since the Labour-led Government of Norman Kirk and Bill Rowling in the early 1970s.

“The new Government has enjoyed an immediate boost in support after winning the election with support for the governing National-ACT-NZ First coalition already up 5.2% points in November to 58% – even before the coalition agreement was officially concluded.

“Support for the outgoing Labour party continued to fall in November, crashing a further 5.9% points to only 21%. This is the lowest level of support the left-wing Labour Party has ever registered in a Roy Morgan New Zealand Poll.

“The Parliamentary Opposition, consisting of Labour-Greens-Maori Party attracted the support of 36% of electors in November, down 5.6% points from the election. Most of the lost support was due to the drop in support for Labour. Support for the Greens actually increased, up 0.9% points to 12.5%. Support for the Maori Party was down 0.6% points to 2.5%.”